Latin America needs more than 2,000 new passenger aircraft in next 20 years
According to the recently released Airbus Global Market Forecast (GMF), Latin America will require 2,028 new passenger aircraft of more than 100 seats between today and 2030, including 1,653 single-aisle, 334 twin-aisle and 41 very large aircraft and estimated at $197 billion.
At a time when the global economy is trying to stabilize, Latin America’s GDP is growing faster than the world at an average annual rate of 5 percent, while the region’s middle class is expected to surge 75 percent in the next 20 years.
Latin American airline traffic will follow suit, growing more than 6 percent per year in the next 20 years, the second highest growth rate in the world after the Middle East and before Asia Pacific. Overall, the region’s traffic is expected to triple in the next 20 years. Intraregional and domestic traffic in Latin America is predicted to rise 6.6 percent in the next 10 years, a faster rate than the 5.4 percent world average. Europe and North America will remain the most important long-haul markets for the region and are expected to reach a share of 31 percent and 25 percent respectively by 2030, while interregional and domestic traffic will dominate market share at 35 percent.
“Latin America’s aviation sector has boomed in the last five years and as a result it has never been stronger. Economic growth is enabling the rise of a new travelling middle class,” said Rafael Alonso, Executive Vice President of Airbus for Latin American and the Caribbean. “The region is also setting global standards by flying some of the youngest aircraft in the world average and advocating for the environment via aviation bio-fuel efforts that are both commercially viable and environmentally sustainable.”
To date, market forecasts have been released for Brazil, Mexico and Colombia. Highlights include:
Forecasts for Chile and Argentina will be presented in the coming months. For more information on the Airbus Global Market Forecast, including presentations and regional overviews, check out www.airbus.com.
With more than 600 aircraft sold and a backlog of nearly 300, over 400 Airbus aircraft are in operation throughout Latin America and the Caribbean. In the last 10 years, Airbus has tripled its in-service fleet, while delivering more than 60 percent of all aircraft operating in the region.